So I let you guys down last week. My apologies. I was pretty confident in the Bills pick and came through. The Patriots and Panthers crapped the bed though. What did I learn? Two things: 1.) Don’t pick against your team at home, ever. Just let that one go. And 2.) The Panthers got the #1 overall pick for a reason last year, they’re not a good team.
For my lock of the week, I’m a believer, the Buffalo Bills!
BUFFALO (-1.5) vs. NEW YORK JETS
The Bills annihilated the dreadful Redskins last week. While I’ll go on record as the DC area’s biggest ‘skins hater, their defense isn’t terrible. The Bills made them look bad. So what happens when they face Dr Rex, podiatrist of love’s overrated green machine? More of the same. I think the Jets put up some points, but Buffalo and Fred Jackson will win this one. In fact, I’m guaranteeing AT LEAST 1 Jackson TD, probably two. Bills win this one by 7.
CINCINNATI (+3) at TENNESSEE
I’m not calling this one a lock, but I’m pretty confident with this pick. The Titans have flashes of mediocrity and above average-ness but at the end of the day, they have an old QB, their best WR is long gone for the season and their super star, highest paid, RB is on pace for what, 500 yds this year? Had I picked this game preseason, I would have undoubtedly picked the Titans, because even though they were spotty at best going into this season, the Bengals were awful looking. Well, guess what? The Bengals are looking pretty good. Cedric Benson comes back from his suspension and racks up close to 100 and a TD and Andy Dalton finds a way to keep the ball away from Cortland Finnegan and tosses a few TDs. Take Cincy and the points here, they’ll win outright.
SAN FRANCISCO (-3) at WASHINGTON
I really don’t like the Redskins so don’t be surprised if I pick against them every week. Thing is, regardless of my emotions getting in the way of my picks…picking the ‘skins out of spite, should net me a few wins this year. They are terrible on offense. Fred Davis is the only thing they have that could be moderately described as a weapon. The addition of Tashard Choice was an OK move, but he’s out this week and guess what, John Beck is starting at QB again. No Santana Moss, no Chris Cooley, no Tim Hightower = no win for the ‘skins. But why waste any more space on them, San Francisco is SOLID this year. Frank Gore is putting up MVP numbers and Alex Smith is actually doing a pretty good job. Harbaugh has found a way to dodge the old West Coast team going East and losing curse as well. I think either Braylon Edwards or Crabtree has a HUGE day and the 49ers coast in this one. I’m thinking they win by 14, but I’ll go on record as saying they win by 7.
BONUS COLLEGE PICKS!
ALABAMA (-4.5) vs. LSU
Depending upon how the BCS slices and dices things in December, THIS could be the game of the year. LSU’s defense is just NASTY. You know what though, Alabama has given up fewer points this year. On paper, judging by defenses alone, this could be a 6-3 thriller but we all know in NCAA football it rarely works that way, especially when dominate offenses are on the other side of the field. I think both teams get into the 20s, but I feel like ‘Bama will get a late TD in a deadlocked game to seal the deal and become the undisputed #1 in the land. I’m not betting the farm here…in fact, this is a “giant game of the year, I have to make a pick” toss up, but I’m going with Alabama minus the points.
TEXAS TECH (+12.5) vs. TEXAS
I love this game. Texas Tech can throw the ball, every year they are one of the best passing offenses in all of the NCAA. Guess what, Texas, despite their top 25 ranking have been giving up a lot of points. I still think that Texas wins this game, but it will be closer than 12.5 points. Take Tech and the points.
In summary: Bills, Bengals, 49ers, Alabama and Texas Tech
Spreads are from Vegas Insider
D’s Record to date: 1-2